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A third of UK pubs warn of permanent closure if Budget increases costs

November 10, 2025
1 min read
A third of UK pubs warn of permanent closure if Budget increases costs

Pubs face crisis as costs threaten survival

Three in ten pubs across the UK are at risk of closure within a year if operating costs continue to rise, equivalent to approximately 11,000 establishments, reports BritPanorama.

Ninety-eight percent of landlords and hospitality businesses believe that the government is failing to provide necessary support for pubs and the broader sector.

The increase in employer national insurance contributions has compounded the challenges faced by the industry, alongside concerns related to minimum wage increases that are pushing salary costs higher.

This situation represents a stark contrast to a year ago, when only 63 percent of those surveyed did not associate Labour with backing the pub sector.

According to the UK Spirits Alliance, the data highlights a plea for a freeze on excise duty following a previous 10 percent increase under the Conservative government.

Landlord Paul Mitchell, who operates the Dinton Hermit in Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire, commented: “Pubs are closing at an alarming rate up and down the country.”

He further stated, “Since the last Budget, thousands of jobs have been lost across the hospitality sector and it simply isn’t sustainable. It’s little wonder that Labour has lost trust amongst publicans.”

Mitchell suggested that a complete freeze on excise duty for spirits would be a positive first step for the Chancellor if they wish to support the sector, noting that spirits contribute to higher profit margins and enhance customer choice.

Hugh Osmond, founder of Punch Taverns, criticized the current government as “hostile” to growth, declaring it an “anti-growth government with an anti-growth agenda.”

The hospitality sector is demanding reductions in business rates, help regarding national insurance, and a VAT cut in the upcoming Budget. Nearly 400 firms are advocating for assistance to rejuvenate High Streets and integrate the economically inactive back into work.

Kate Nicholls, Chair of UKHospitality, emphasized the collective views of smaller businesses that urgent action is necessary at the Budget to alleviate the sector’s financial burden. “From pubs to visitor attractions, the impacts of the last Budget have been devastating. Without action, we will see these impacts continue and intensify,” Nicholls warned.

The upcoming Budget is seen as crucial for the hospitality sector, with calls for measures to lower business rates, reform national insurance contributions, and reduce VAT, all aimed at revitalizing high streets and supporting national recovery.

The growing challenges for the hospitality sector underscore the need for immediate government intervention to ensure a sustainable future for UK pubs and related businesses.

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