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Reform party predicted to achieve unprecedented majority in upcoming election, new poll shows

October 15, 2025
1 min read
Reform party predicted to achieve unprecedented majority in upcoming election, new poll shows

Farage Poised for Historic Landslide Victory in Hypothetical Election

Nigel Farage’s Reform party is projected to achieve a historic landslide victory in a hypothetical election, seizing 445 seats, while Labour would be reduced to just 73 MPs, and the Conservatives would barely register with only seven seats, reports BritPanorama.

The latest MRP projection, based on a poll of 7,449 voters, indicates that 13 Cabinet Ministers could lose their positions, including Chancellor Rachel Reeves, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper, Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband.

Farage currently holds a substantial lead in the polls, with a roughly ten-point advantage over Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer. His rise in popularity appears to capitalize on widespread public dissatisfaction regarding the ongoing migration and cost of living crises since the last general election.

The detailed seat forecast, generated by Electoral Calculus for PLMR, raises significant concerns within Downing Street. Reform’s anticipated 445 seats far exceed the 326 required for a majority, outstripping Tony Blair’s significant victory in 1997. In contrast, Labour’s projected decline to 73 seats marks a severe challenge to their electoral viability.

The Liberal Democrats are positioned third with 42 seats, followed by the SNP with 41, Jeremy Corbyn’s Your Party at 13, the Conservatives with seven, and the Greens with six.

In response to these developments, Sir Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch are strategizing to counter Reform’s influence. The Prime Minister utilized his recent party conference to label Farage’s deportation policies as “racist,” aiming to galvanize progressive elements against him in an increasingly polarized electoral landscape.

Meanwhile, Badenoch plans to focus the campaign on economic issues, seeking to cast doubt on the financial credibility of both Labour and Reform. Farage has shifted his positioning to address such skepticism, publicly renouncing £90 billion in proposed tax cuts to underscore his party’s economic responsibility. He pledged to unveil a “rigorous and fully-costed manifesto” in light of ongoing criticisms regarding fiscal management.

In statements this week, Farage affirmed, “At the next election, we will present a rigorous and fully-costed manifesto. Reform will never borrow to spend, as Labour and the Tories have done for so long.”

Looking ahead, Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to announce additional tax hikes during her Budget presentation on November 26, further intensifying pressure on UK households as she acknowledges the need for further fiscal restraint despite prior assurances of a one-off tax increase.

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