New poll suggests Green Party may not win any seats in London
The Green Party could fail to win a single seat in London, a new poll has suggested, putting Labour on course to achieve a resounding victory in the capital, reports BritPanorama.
The MRP poll conducted by Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now indicated that Labour could secure 59 or 60 seats out of 75 following a surge in support after Andy Burnham took over as prime minister. Labour stands at 34 per cent in London, an increase of nine percentage points since July, while the Greens have fallen three points to 18 per cent.
The Conservatives, meanwhile, are projected to decline by two points to 16 per cent, Reform UK remains unchanged at 13 per cent, and the Liberal Democrats decrease by two points to 9 per cent. Minor parties and independents account for 3 per cent.
Analysis of the polling, seen by the Evening Standard, revealed that the Conservatives could lose two seats and fail to recover others in inner London, while the Liberal Democrats are expected to retain six constituencies in south west London. Reform UK is predicted to gain one seat, specifically Bexleyheath and Crayford, currently held by Labour.
In a significant setback for Green Party leader Zack Polanski, the survey suggests that the party could end up with no seats in the capital, despite earlier predictions of potentially winning as many as 21 seats. London is a critical area for the Greens, particularly after their success in securing numerous council seats during the local elections in May.
Martin Baxter, chief executive of Electoral Calculus, noted, “In political terms, Andy Burnham has eaten Zack Polanski’s muesli,” pointedly referencing Labour’s recent victory in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. Despite accusations of being anti-London, Baxter remarked that Burnham is effectively unifying the left-of-centre votes in the capital, taking support from both the Liberal Democrats and the Greens.
Furthermore, Baxter highlighted that, “This contrasts with the dire position of the party earlier in the year under Sir Keir Starmer.” The decline in the Green Party’s popularity comes on the heels of a challenging period for Polanski, marked by the recent by-election loss and criticism surrounding his leadership, particularly during debates over divisive motions within the party.
Also noteworthy is Polanski facing calls to resign after a series of poor performances, leaving some senior party figures describing the current leadership situation as “untenable”. Nationally, the poll places Labour on 353 seats, holding a Commons majority of 56, while the Conservatives sit at 90, Reform at 81, the Liberal Democrats at 70, the SNP at 28, the Greens at four, and Restore at one.
The survey was conducted from September 25 to October 2, 2025, involving 6,699 participants.
