Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal Party has retained power in the country’s election, but fell short of the majority government he had wanted to help him negotiate tariffs with US President Donald Trump.
The Liberals were leading or elected in 167 electoral districts, known as seats, followed by the Conservatives with 145, with votes still being counted just after 7am Irish time today.
The Liberals had needed to win 172 of the House of Commons’ 343 seats for a majority that would allow them to govern without support from a smaller party.
“Our old relationship with the United States, a relationship based on steadily increasing integration, is over,” Mr Carney said in a victory speech in Ottawa.
“The system of open global trade anchored by the United States, a system that Canada has relied on since the Second World War, a system that, while not perfect, has helped deliver prosperity for our country for decades, is over.”
“These are tragedies, but it’s also our new reality.”
Mr Carney had promised a tough approach with Washington over its import tariffs and said Canada would need to spend billions to reduce its reliance on the US but the right-of-centre Conservatives, who called for change after more than nine years of Liberal rule, showed unexpected strength.
Minority governments in Canada rarely last longer than 2.5 years.
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre conceded defeat to Mr Carney’s Liberals and said his party would hold the government to account.
The result capped a notable comeback for the Liberals, who had been 20 percentage points behind in the polls in January before Justin Trudeau announced he was quitting and Mr Trump started threatening tariffs and annexation.
“America wants our land, our resources, our water, our country,” Mr Carney said. “These are not idle threats. President Trump is trying to break us so America can own us. That will never ever happen.”
Mr Trump’s threats ignited a wave of patriotism that swelled support for Mr Carney, a political newcomer who previously led two G7 central banks.
Mr Trump re-emerged as a campaign factor last week, declaring that he might raise a 25% tariff on Canadian-made cars because the US does not want them. He said earlier he might use “economic force” to make Canada the 51st state.
Mr Carney has emphasised that his experience handling economic issues makes him the best leader to deal with Mr Trump, while Mr Poilievre tapped into concerns about the cost of living, crime and a housing crisis.
In a social media post yesterday, Mr Trump reiterated his call for Canada to become the 51st state.
“Good luck to the Great people of Canada,” he said. “Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military power, for free, to the highest level in the World, have your Car, Steel, Aluminum, Lumber, Energy, and all other businesses, QUADRUPLE in size, WITH ZERO TARIFFS OR TAXES, if Canada becomes the cherished 51st. State of the United States of America. No more artificially drawn line from many years ago.”
Tensions with the US have caused supporters of two smaller parties, the left-leaning New Democratic Party and the separatist Bloc Quebecois, to shift to the Liberals. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh conceded defeat in his own district and said he planned to quit as party leader.
The Conservatives appeared on track to make gains in the seat-rich Toronto area to prevent a Liberal majority government, but Mr Poilievre was trailing in his own Ottawa-area district, with votes still being counted.
“We didn’t quite get over the finish line yet,” Mr Poilievre told his supporters in Ottawa. “We know that change is needed, but change is hard to come by. It takes time.”
The Liberals are the last party to win four consecutive elections in Canada, accomplishing the feat in 2004.
Mr Poilievre focused his campaign on domestic issues and the need to fix a country that he said the Liberals had “broken”.
The Taoiseach Micheál Martin congratulated Mr Carney and the Liberal Party following their election victory in a post on X, adding: “Irish-Canadian relations are deep and strong, based on shared values. I look forward to working with Canada’s new government.”
